Archive for November 24th, 2007

Election 2007 – 8:50pm

Nationally it is now beyond doubt. Labor have won. Even if all of Western Australia were to go to the coalition, the required swing to the coalition in the other states would be virtually impossible. I’m declaring it…Labor have won, Kevin Rudd is the new prime minister.

Federal (54% counted):
Labor: 67
Coalition: 42
Independent: 2

1 comment November 24th, 2007 at 08:51pm

Election 2007 – 8:40pm

Eden-Monaro (60% counted)
Labor: 23,741
Liberal: 23,072
Far too close to call

Bennelong (60% counted)
Labor: 25,776
Liberal: 25,258
This is also very close, some say John Howard is out, but I think it is far too close to call.

November 24th, 2007 at 08:42pm

Election 2007 – 8:35pm

ACT seats

Fraser (59% counted)
Labor: 52%
Liberal: 31%
Green: 12%

Canberra (60% counted)
Labor: 52%
Liberal: 35%
Greens: 13%

Senate (5% counted)
Labor: 39.59% (1.19 effective quotas)
Liberal: 35.26% (1.06 effective quotas)
Greens: 22.10% (0.66 effective quotas)

November 24th, 2007 at 08:38pm

Election 2007 – 8:30pm

The coalition currently have a two seat advantage in Queensland, which isn’t going to be enough to get the Liberals over the line and we are very likely to see Kevin Rudd declare at 9:30. Channel Nine have just given the election to Labor.

National (46%):
Labor: 62
Coalition: 41
Independent: 1

November 24th, 2007 at 08:33pm

Election 2007 – 8:18pm

The ACT house of reps seats are going to Labor:
Canberra (43% counted)
Labor 52%
Liberal 34%
Greens 13%

Fraser (53% counted)
Labor 52%
Labor 31%
Greens 13%

The ACT senate is interesting, with 1.34% counted
Labor 1,092 (1.05 effective quotas)
Liberal 1,003 (0.96 effective quotas)
Greens 942 (0.90 effective quotas)

November 24th, 2007 at 08:18pm

Election 2007 – 8:05pm

Nationally it’s looking very good for Labor:
Labor 53
Coalition 32
Independent 1

Queensland still hasn’t produced a definitive result, but it looks like Queensland and Western Australia will be the places which decide the result. The bottom line is that the coalition need to win these states to win the election. If the Queensland results don’t show a swing to the coalition within the next hour, you can expect Kevin Rudd to claim victory at about 9:30…otherwise it will probably be 10:30 or 11pm before we can be sure enough of the result to see a leader claim victory.

November 24th, 2007 at 08:04pm

Election 2007 – 7:45pm

Nationally Labor are winning by enough to easily win this election at this stage
Labor: 46
Coalition: 24

By the looks of it this is not an “actual win” figure but an “estimated win” from the AEC. They have given both ACT seats to Labor.

Fraser with 42% counted:
Labor: 52%
Liberal: 30%

Canberra with 14% counted:
Labor: 52%
Liberal: 34%

Eden Monaro is far too close to call with 34% counted:
Liberal: 13.558
Labor: 13,228

Hume 46% counted:
Liberal 48%
Labor 39%

November 24th, 2007 at 07:51pm

Election 2007 – 7:35pm

Eden Monaro still very close, but has just swung to Labor
Labor: 9,998
Liberal: 9,904

2 comments November 24th, 2007 at 07:36pm

Election 2007 – 7:32pm

Early ACT senate results:
Liberal: 92
Labor: 65
Greens: 32

November 24th, 2007 at 07:31pm

Election 2007 – 7:28pm

Nationally:
Labor: 27
Coalition: 20

Labor are doing extremely well in New South Wales. However with this margin it could come down to the votes from WA, which will mean a very very long night indeed.

November 24th, 2007 at 07:29pm

Election 2007 – 7:24pm

I’ve added a five minute refresh to the blog for the night. If you leave your browser on the front page of the blog you’ll get updates every five minutes.

Samuel

November 24th, 2007 at 07:25pm

Election 2007 – 7:23pm

Eden Monaro is looking like it will go down to the wire.

Liberal: 5242
Labor: 5075

November 24th, 2007 at 07:22pm

Election 2007 – 7:20pm

Interesting changes

Maxine McKew leads John Howard 1,723-1,368

Nationally Labor have struck back with a few New South Wales seats. It’s now
Labor:21
Liberal: 12
Nationals: 6
Independent: 1

November 24th, 2007 at 07:20pm

Election 2007 – 7:05pm

Nationally
Liberal: 7
Nationals: 4
Labor: 4
Independent: 1

Queensland is the bogey state. If things continue at this rate then Labor will need to win the majority of seats in Queensland to win the election. Otherwise, unless WA swings heavily, things look good for the coalition.

November 24th, 2007 at 07:08pm

Election 2007 – 7:00pm

The Liberals are leading Labor in Canberra 43-36 votes.
Labor are leading the Liberals in Fraser 341-242
The Liberals now lead Eden Monaro by 1914-1593. If the gap keeps up at this rate this good be a good bel–whether omen for the Liberals.
The Liberals lead Hume 2293-1652
No votes currently counted in the ACT senate

The only states yet to close their polls are the Northern Territory and Western Australia.

Samuel

November 24th, 2007 at 07:03pm

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