Following up on a video from last year, today I provide an updated selection criteria for NRL betting with Hard N Soft Staking, and apply a similar approach to AFL betting.
Samuel
March 25th, 2026 at 06:01am
In this video, I look at one approach to combine AI predictions with market prices to find value when backing the draw in soccer.
Conversely the same approach could be used to lay the draw achieving a higher strike rate but with more risk.
This approach uses the SPM Bot
I have a number of other strategies running in SPM Bot currently, and I will bring some of them to you over the coming weeks.
Samuel
March 11th, 2026 at 07:24pm
I was in Temora earlier this week and as often happens when I have some time away, I had some time to do some thinking. This particular topic is one I’ve been thinking about for a while, but I had some time to really pull my thoughts together while I was away.
In today’s video I discuss how my thought process has shifted from “AI sceptic” to “AI pragmatist” and how a book called AI Betting Edge helped to reframe the way I think about AI’s role in betting. I also give some thoughts on how I now approach the use of AI in betting and how I thinks approaching it with the right mindset can make it a useful and powerful tool for every bettor.
Plus some thoughts on local milk…
Samuel
2 comments February 13th, 2026 at 06:16am
Today I’m taking you in my time machine back to 2003 for a look at a project I worked on in high school: a video mini-documentary about the photo finish camera.
The project was supposed to be a speech to the class about something electronic, explaining some of the history of the thing, how it works, and how it’s useful. As the spring racing carnival was well underway at the time, I thought the photo finish camera was a timely electronic object to focus on, and got the class teacher’s approval to put together a video presentation instead of a direct speech to the class, with the teacher’s stipulation that I must appear on camera during the video.
I have actually shared the mini-documentary itself previously, way back in 2007, but now with the benefit of much more hindsight I have the opportunity to not only share the video and some stories of its production, but reflect on how I might have done it differently if I could do it today, and also take a moment or two to correct a few factual errors in the video, which also have their own interesting backstories.
I’m sure just about everyone reading this blog today hasn’t seen the mini-documentary before, so I hope you enjoy it. Those of you who have seen it previously: I hope you enjoy the expanded information and reflection on it.
Samuel
February 9th, 2026 at 10:38am
Greetings of 2026 to you!
My apologies for the extended absence. Alas I have been very busy in the last few months and struggled to find time to keep on top of my bots at times, let alone find time to create more videos. Thankfully things have settled down a bit in recent weeks and I have had time to both get back on top of my bots and get ready to produce more videos, the first of which starts now with a video looking at some level staking ideas in RPM Bot.
The RPM Bot is available here if it is of interest to you.
I look forward to bringing you more videos soon.
Samuel
January 1st, 2026 at 11:56pm
A look at a method of backing low-priced favourites in Australian harness racing, to turn a profit (with a bit of patience) using Hard N Soft staking in the Hard N Soft Bot.
Samuel
October 6th, 2025 at 05:41pm
The long-awaited “even better” RPM Bot strategy is here (and I’m sorry it took me so long to get it done).
In this video I demonstrate the strategy in RPM Bot which has been performing even better than the strategy in the previous video. Including full details of the strategy settings, a demonstration of how the RPM Bot follows price movements and makes its selections, and a detailed breakdown of strike rate statistics by country and race type, plus some surprisingly good news for people who prefer level staking.
Video chapters for your reference:
00:00 Introduction
01:10 Results
05:57 The bot settings
08:24 RPM Bot in action – making selections and winning races
17:33 Strike rate statistics and level staking performance
28:40 Conclusion
29:48 Addendum – France to the rescue!
Samuel
September 26th, 2025 at 06:19pm
Today I’m taking a look at the RPM Bot. I explain how it tracks and measures price movements in horse racing markets over time, and how this can be used to find winners at some very nice prices.
Today’s strategy looks at horses which the market has overlooked paying 8.00 to 10.00
In the next RPM Bot video I will be looking at another strategy which has been performing even better!
Samuel
4 comments June 29th, 2025 at 09:45pm
A lot of the NRL teams are fairly evenly matched which provides plenty of opportunities for non-favourites to win, which is a perfect scenario for Hard N Soft staking. In today’s short video, I run through how the strategy has been performing and the criteria I use to choose which games to bet on, using Hard N Soft as my staking method.
Hard N Soft staking available in both Cloud and Excel versions.
Samuel
June 1st, 2025 at 10:02am
I’m back from a bit of a hiatus with an update on a harness racing strategy in the ANZ Bot which was briefly mentioned in a video some months ago.
Today’s video goes into more detail of the strategy and shows how it has been performing well over a number of months, including a run of eight winners in a row just prior to recording this video.
ANZ Bot
ANZ Ratings & Analyser
I know some of you are awaiting email replies from me. I’ve recently discovered that some auto-filtering had been turned on in my email which was hiding many legitimate emails from my view, so I’m only just finding many of these emails now, and hope to have replies done over the next day or two.
Samuel
May 29th, 2025 at 12:25am
Today I take a look at a method of using Stop At A Winner staking with odds-on greyhounds without exposing yourself to the higher levels of risk which this staking method can sometimes involve.
This is using the Stop At A Winner Deluxe Greyhounds bot
Samuel
April 21st, 2025 at 09:14pm
Today I take a look at results from a variety of strategies in the Hard N Soft Bot over the last eight days, provide some analysis on the ones that are working and the ones which can be improved, and provide a few hints and tips on ways to get the most out of the bot including my method of getting the bot to just bet on harness only for certain strategies.
Samuel
March 20th, 2025 at 09:06pm
In today’s video I answer a series of questions which have been asked about Hard N Soft Staking since its launch, covering topics such as how it works and various ways to use it.
And exciting news, and an answer to a question asked many times – a preview of a much-requested addition which will open up many new possibilities for the use of Hard N Soft Staking. Yes, a bot is coming!
Hard ‘N’ Soft Staking: https://hardnsoftstaking.com
I look forward to bringing you more news of the bot in the near future.
P.S. I thought this would be a quick video to produce. It wasn’t. Compiling all of those screenshots and demonstrative videos and getting the graphics firing at the right times. I’ve spent much more time on this than I expected but it has come out well so it was time well spent I think.
Samuel
3 comments February 5th, 2025 at 08:31pm
Today I’m taking a closer look at how Hard ‘N’ Soft Staking works
How the targets work
How the staking progression works
The thought process behind the system
And the optimal conditions for it
In the next video I will be answering some of the questions which have been asked about Hard ‘N’ Soft Staking. Many I have already answered here on in the YouTube comments or by email, but I think it would be good to compile a bunch of them into an FAQ video. If there are more questions between now and then, I’ll certainly consider adding them to the video.
Samuel
3 comments January 26th, 2025 at 05:11pm
Introducing Hard ‘N’ Soft Staking – a staking plan I designed to turbocharge your profits during winning runs and protect your bankroll in losing runs.
I’m very pleased to have been able to collaborate with Steve and Michael to take my idea for the staking plan, which I was calculating manually, and transform it into a highly usable and attractive staking plan available as both a cloud version and an Excel version at https://hardnsoftstaking.com
In this video I cover What Hard ’N’ Soft Staking is, show it in action in both good periods and bad periods, demonstrating its ability to make profit under various conditions while protecting your bank balance along the way. In the next video I intend to go into a more detailed explanation of the inner workings of the staking plan and some of the thought process behind it.
I hope you enjoy this and it brings you an extra edge in your betting.
Samuel
3 comments January 17th, 2025 at 07:29pm
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