Election 10:41
Julia Gillard will be making a statement soon.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 10:41pm
Posts filed under 'General News'
Election 10:33
This has all slowed right down now. Obviously the remaining seats are all very close and difficult to predict.
The ACT senate race looks settled. Kate Lundy will get back in as she definitely has a quota. Gary Humphries should stay in as well…he is just under a quota, but any preferences from anywhere should push him over the line.
Eden-Monaro sadly looks like it will remain with Labor’s Mike Kelly. He currently leads Liberal David Gazard 44.01% to 42.15% with 74.08% counted. The independent preferences could go to David and put him slightly ahead, but not far enough for him to be safe from a Labor-directed Green preference blitz.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 10:38pm
Election 10:18
Official AEC figures on seats won:
Labor: 60
Coalition: 57
Greens: 1
Other: 3
Still to be decided: 29
73.65% of the vote has been counted.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 10:21pm
Election 10:15
OK back on deck now, and a quick run-around of the TV stations (I had forgotten about SBS…I suppose most of the country had as well).
ABC
Coalition: 71
Labor: 69
Other: 5
Doubt: 5
Seven
Labor: 72
Coalition: 68
Nine
Had Labor up by one seat before they pulled the details off the screen
SBS (it looks like they’ve repainted the World Cup set…looks pretty dodgy)
Labor: 73
Coalition: 69
Other: 4
Doubt: 4
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 10:18pm
Election 9:51
There’s a chance of Wayne Swan losing his seat. It depends on the independent and Family First preferences flowing to the Coalition. This will give the Coalition a significant lead heading in to the distribution of Green preferences which, given the swing to the Greens in that seat, could go anywhere.
The end of Wayne “traffic jams cause inflation” Swan? That would be nice…I’d give it a 55% chance.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 09:53pm
Election 9:32
Apologies for the slowdown, I’m trying to eat dinner and keep an eye on a number of screens for interesting bits of information.
The ABC computer has the Coalition ahead now, 70 seats to 68 with 7 in doubt. Nine still have Labor leading by four, but that figures bobs about every 30 seconds or so.
The AEC have Labor on 60, the Coalition on 57 with 29 seats to go.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 09:35pm
Election 9:19pm
With 60.09% of the vote counted, the AEC has awarded 59 seats to Labor, 54 to the Coalition, three to independents, one to the Greens and 33 still to be counted, 18 of which are in WA and Queensland.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 09:21pm
Election 9:17pm
2GB are calling an Abbott victory based on the number of seats they’ve gained excluding Western Australia. Once you add in WA and the remainder of Queensland which is currently being blitzed by the Coalition, it’s hard to escape their conclusion.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 09:19pm
Election 9:01pm
The gap seems to be closing across all of the computer models of the TV networks. The Coalition are also confident of gaining a seat in Western Australia.
Keep an eye on the figures over the next hour or so as some Eastern seats become clearer and the WA seats start to come through.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 09:03pm
Election 8:52 :: Bold Prediction Time!
Right, time for my “no backing out” bold prediction of the night. Currently Labor hold 59 seats, Coalition 51 according to the AEC. With 15 seats to come in from WA, I predict that Tony Abbott will be our Prime Minister. Probably a minority government…but the Coalition will hold power.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:54pm
Election 8:49pm
Well the ticker on WIN has gone mad. It tries to cycle through all of the seats, but just keeps showing Fraser. Not sure if it’s a Nine or WIN issue.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:49pm
Election 8:44pm
Current TV computer predictions:
ABC
Labor: 70
Coalition: 62
Other: 4
Doubt: 14
Channel Nine
Labor: 57
Coalition: 53
Other: 4
Doubt: 36
Channel Seven
Labor: 53
Coalition: 37
(graphic has disappeared from the screen, so I don’t have the rest of the numbers from Seven)
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:47pm
Election 8:27pm
Super-early WA figures show a huge Coalition lead.
With 0.09% counted:
Coalition: 71.46%
Labor: 19.25%
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:29pm
Election 8:23pm
Labor have taken the national two-party preferred lead, 50.18% to 49.82%. Currently the seats won according to official figures are:
Labor: 60
Coalition: 49
Greens: 1
Independent: 3
53.27% of the vote has been counted.
The ABC computer is predicting Labor 65, Coalition 57. The gap is narrowing in their calculation.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:26pm
Election 8:20pm
Fairfax radio journalist Latika Bourke is at the Gillard Labor function, and the mood there is flat.
The only sign of optimism in here is when they flash up that JG has retained Lalor. Claps ring out and a few spirited cheers.
Samuel
August 21st, 2010 at 08:22pm