Following up on a video from last year, today I provide an updated selection criteria for NRL betting with Hard N Soft Staking, and apply a similar approach to AFL betting.
Samuel
Add comment March 25th, 2026 at 06:01am
In this video, I look at one approach to combine AI predictions with market prices to find value when backing the draw in soccer.
Conversely the same approach could be used to lay the draw achieving a higher strike rate but with more risk.
This approach uses the SPM Bot
I have a number of other strategies running in SPM Bot currently, and I will bring some of them to you over the coming weeks.
Samuel
Add comment March 11th, 2026 at 07:24pm
I thought that over the next few weeks I might feature some of the songs which I was particularly fond of when I was a kid. I dare say my taste in music as a kid didn’t align with any of my peers, and in fact I have been told many times that I was born middle-aged and there’s probably a grain of truth to that.
As a kid I went through a phase where I wanted to grow up to be a bus. Not a bus driver, but a bus. I would run around the school playground being the bus on the 333 intertown route through Canberra with specific parts of the playground acting as various stops along the way. So with that in mind, it’s probably not surprising that I was fond of Red Simpson’s song “I’m a truck” which tells a story from the truck’s point of view rather than the driver’s point of view.
Samuel
Add comment February 15th, 2026 at 06:25pm
I was in Temora earlier this week and as often happens when I have some time away, I had some time to do some thinking. This particular topic is one I’ve been thinking about for a while, but I had some time to really pull my thoughts together while I was away.
In today’s video I discuss how my thought process has shifted from “AI sceptic” to “AI pragmatist” and how a book called AI Betting Edge helped to reframe the way I think about AI’s role in betting. I also give some thoughts on how I now approach the use of AI in betting and how I thinks approaching it with the right mindset can make it a useful and powerful tool for every bettor.
Plus some thoughts on local milk…
Samuel
2 comments February 13th, 2026 at 06:16am
Today I’m taking you in my time machine back to 2003 for a look at a project I worked on in high school: a video mini-documentary about the photo finish camera.
The project was supposed to be a speech to the class about something electronic, explaining some of the history of the thing, how it works, and how it’s useful. As the spring racing carnival was well underway at the time, I thought the photo finish camera was a timely electronic object to focus on, and got the class teacher’s approval to put together a video presentation instead of a direct speech to the class, with the teacher’s stipulation that I must appear on camera during the video.
I have actually shared the mini-documentary itself previously, way back in 2007, but now with the benefit of much more hindsight I have the opportunity to not only share the video and some stories of its production, but reflect on how I might have done it differently if I could do it today, and also take a moment or two to correct a few factual errors in the video, which also have their own interesting backstories.
I’m sure just about everyone reading this blog today hasn’t seen the mini-documentary before, so I hope you enjoy it. Those of you who have seen it previously: I hope you enjoy the expanded information and reflection on it.
Samuel
Add comment February 9th, 2026 at 10:38am
Greetings of 2026 to you!
My apologies for the extended absence. Alas I have been very busy in the last few months and struggled to find time to keep on top of my bots at times, let alone find time to create more videos. Thankfully things have settled down a bit in recent weeks and I have had time to both get back on top of my bots and get ready to produce more videos, the first of which starts now with a video looking at some level staking ideas in RPM Bot.
The RPM Bot is available here if it is of interest to you.
I look forward to bringing you more videos soon.
Samuel
January 1st, 2026 at 11:56pm
A look at a method of backing low-priced favourites in Australian harness racing, to turn a profit (with a bit of patience) using Hard N Soft staking in the Hard N Soft Bot.
Samuel
October 6th, 2025 at 05:41pm
The long-awaited “even better” RPM Bot strategy is here (and I’m sorry it took me so long to get it done).
In this video I demonstrate the strategy in RPM Bot which has been performing even better than the strategy in the previous video. Including full details of the strategy settings, a demonstration of how the RPM Bot follows price movements and makes its selections, and a detailed breakdown of strike rate statistics by country and race type, plus some surprisingly good news for people who prefer level staking.
Video chapters for your reference:
00:00 Introduction
01:10 Results
05:57 The bot settings
08:24 RPM Bot in action – making selections and winning races
17:33 Strike rate statistics and level staking performance
28:40 Conclusion
29:48 Addendum – France to the rescue!
Samuel
September 26th, 2025 at 06:19pm
Today I’m taking a look at the RPM Bot. I explain how it tracks and measures price movements in horse racing markets over time, and how this can be used to find winners at some very nice prices.
Today’s strategy looks at horses which the market has overlooked paying 8.00 to 10.00
In the next RPM Bot video I will be looking at another strategy which has been performing even better!
Samuel
4 comments June 29th, 2025 at 09:45pm
Microsoft’s insistence on having Windows install updates and restart whenever the computer feels like it poses a problem for any 24/7 computer operation, including betting bots, where interruptions can be inconvenient and costly.
There are a couple ways to regain control of Windows Updates so that they install on your schedule and only with your permission. In this video I look at how to configure Group Policy to manage updates (only available for Pro and Server editions of Windows) which is the most reliable and flexible way to manage updates, and also Windows Update Blocker which is the only decent option if you’re using a Home edition of Windows.
Windows Update Blocker is available from https://www.sordum.org/9470/windows-update-blocker-v1-8/ but I recommend using Group Policy if you’re on a Pro or Server edition of Windows.
Important: Windows Updates contain important security fixes. Disabling Windows Updates permanently can result in your computer becoming insecure. If you use the steps in this video, it is important to continue to install updates periodically. Failing to do so is at your own risk.
Samuel
June 7th, 2025 at 02:02pm
A lot of the NRL teams are fairly evenly matched which provides plenty of opportunities for non-favourites to win, which is a perfect scenario for Hard N Soft staking. In today’s short video, I run through how the strategy has been performing and the criteria I use to choose which games to bet on, using Hard N Soft as my staking method.
Hard N Soft staking available in both Cloud and Excel versions.
Samuel
June 1st, 2025 at 10:02am
I’m back from a bit of a hiatus with an update on a harness racing strategy in the ANZ Bot which was briefly mentioned in a video some months ago.
Today’s video goes into more detail of the strategy and shows how it has been performing well over a number of months, including a run of eight winners in a row just prior to recording this video.
ANZ Bot
ANZ Ratings & Analyser
I know some of you are awaiting email replies from me. I’ve recently discovered that some auto-filtering had been turned on in my email which was hiding many legitimate emails from my view, so I’m only just finding many of these emails now, and hope to have replies done over the next day or two.
Samuel
May 29th, 2025 at 12:25am
Today I take a look at a method of using Stop At A Winner staking with odds-on greyhounds without exposing yourself to the higher levels of risk which this staking method can sometimes involve.
This is using the Stop At A Winner Deluxe Greyhounds bot
Samuel
April 21st, 2025 at 09:14pm
Today I take a look at results from a variety of strategies in the Hard N Soft Bot over the last eight days, provide some analysis on the ones that are working and the ones which can be improved, and provide a few hints and tips on ways to get the most out of the bot including my method of getting the bot to just bet on harness only for certain strategies.
Samuel
March 20th, 2025 at 09:06pm
Today was Canberra Cup Day for harness racing, and in between races they had a variety of fun events, one of which was dachshund races.
Naturally, for little dogs with little legs, the races were very short. In the first heat though, one of the dogs was not satisfied with this very short race and wanted to continue on, having seen the horses go right around the track, and managed to take people on quite a merry little chase.
Alas I didn’t see who won the final as the weather turned and I went home before the Canberra Cup and the final of the dachshund races. Still, it was good to see quite a decent crowd for the race meeting. Afternoon meetings are unusual for Canberra harness racing as they’re usually evening meetings, but if today is anything to go by, Sunday afternoons might be a good way to attract more crowds in future.
Samuel
March 16th, 2025 at 07:49pm