Continuing from last week’s video of finding value on the dogs by dutching at level stakes, this week I provide an update on results from last week’s strategy, and continue looking for more value at level staking by adding a hedge bet (insurance) on the favourite, with results from some days of that. Plus, the next stage in testing, and some exciting news about the return of British greyhound racing to free to air television.
Hedge Dog Bot: https://redirect.samuelgs.com/hedgedogbot.htm [1]
Ayozat’s Towcester Greyhound Derby Championship coverage: https://www.ayozat.com/ppv/details/greyhound-derby-2024-season-ticket [2]
Samuel
Comments Disabled To "Finding more value with greyhound dutching by adding insurance"
#1 Comment By dougmac On May 22, 2024 @ 1:19 pm
Hi Samuel; My preference for A/NZ would be to stick to 4th and 5th favourites;the current grading system generally works against the “roughies” and I believe you would miss very few winners by omitting these.
Regards Doug
#2 Comment By Samuel On May 22, 2024 @ 2:11 pm
Hi Doug. Nice to hear from you. That’s a good thought and you may very well be right. Yesterday’s result was positive for the 4th/5th/6th in 6 dog races and down for the 5th/6th/7th in 7 dog races and 5th-8th in 8 dog races, with today tracking similarly so far, although the 8 dog races benefited from a few true long-shots getting in.
In a winning race, dutching two dogs at decent odds should be more profitable than dutching three or four dogs even if the three or four have higher odds. I’ll have to take a look at some races and see what the potential profit margin would be. If the difference is greater than the small drop in strike rate then it should work nicely.
For the purposes of the exercise I’m going to let the existing system run for now to see how it goes, and see about testing your suggestion next up.